Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +20 (75-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Guidry | 33 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Vince Greene | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Ford | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Plank | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| G. Alexander | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Ford | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wallace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Dyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kirstein | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stout | 37 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| E. Crawford | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Jacobson | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| E. Coleman | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| B. McKowen | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Foster | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Little | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Godfread | 9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Pete Schmit | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Santos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Viet | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Josten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Griffin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter