Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +23 (69-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson | 39 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -3 | - |
| L. Mergerson | 37 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Mathews | 31 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| G. O'Garro | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Hooper | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| G. Sprink | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Biles | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Rhoiney | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hudson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 34 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| N. Welch | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 29 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Keller | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. McCraw | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Anderson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Holum | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Teets | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Swan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Frye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Dillinger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter