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2005-01-02

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% -
Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 30 4-9 1-1 3-4 4 3 1 0 1 12 10 -
D. Thompson * 30 3-11 1-4 6-6 7 4 1 1 3 13 12 -
J. Farmar * 27 2-9 0-1 8-8 3 2 1 0 1 12 8 -
M. Fey * 21 6-9 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 13 5 -
J. Shipp * 21 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Brian Morrison 25 5-8 5-6 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 15 12 -
L. Mata-Real 20 2-2 0-0 1-4 7 1 0 2 0 5 13 -
J. Rubin 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. McKinney 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks * 39 4-12 2-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 4 14 2 -
I. Crosswhite * 29 3-9 0-3 2-2 4 3 1 1 4 8 4 -
M. Platt * 25 7-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 15 12 -
M. Hairston * 24 2-7 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 2 7 2 -
B. Taylor * 24 1-3 1-2 0-1 2 2 2 0 2 3 4 -
M. Leunen 24 2-4 0-2 2-4 10 1 1 0 1 6 13 -
J. Kent 18 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
B. Lincoln 16 2-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
K. Love 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter