Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | +1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +4 (59-55). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Doles | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| N. George | 30 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Alexander Harper | 29 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B.A. Walker | 28 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jesse Pellot-Rosa | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Reid | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sam Faulk | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Renardo Dixon | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Calvin Roland | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Shuler | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julian Capel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cuffee | 37 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mike Dean | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Fats Cuyler | 31 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Steve Thomas | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Alex Weekes | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Morrison | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Smithson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Young | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Scott | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter