Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | -0.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.