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2005-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% -
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lang 35 10-17 2-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 24 9 -
D. Gardner 30 6-9 0-0 5-8 5 4 0 0 3 17 14 -
S. Callahan 26 6-15 5-10 0-0 6 3 3 0 0 17 14 -
C. Flynn 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 2 5 -
J. Meyer 20 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 8 10 -
T. Hammick 20 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 3 2 1 -
J. Ball 14 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 3 0 0 -
P. Cuttica 12 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 3 1 -
M. McLaren 9 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 3 0 2 1 0 -
M. Liddy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Bode 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. McMillan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Giovacchini 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stehle 36 9-14 0-1 7-8 7 1 3 1 5 25 18 -
B. Cusworth 28 4-12 1-1 4-6 9 2 0 2 1 13 13 -
J. Norman 28 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 11 9 -
K. Rogus 27 2-4 1-3 3-4 2 2 1 0 0 8 9 -
D. Giovacchini 26 3-9 0-4 1-2 0 6 4 0 3 7 5 -
M. Beal 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 3 2 4 7 -
J. Goffredo 16 2-4 2-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
G. Beatty 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Z. Martin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter