Model Predictions
| Model | UTEP Miners | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | -13.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.3% | 16.7% | -8.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -14 (77-91). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
UTEP Miners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams | 39 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Hopewell | 36 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| S. Stringfield | 28 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| John Tofi | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Giovanni St. Amant | 24 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Miguel Ayala | 21 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Thomas Gehrke | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brent Murphy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby Karl | 36 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Clark | 33 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Eric Lane | 28 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| K. Johnson | 28 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Seth Robinson | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tez Banks | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Green | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| McNeal Thompson | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kareem Lloyd | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter