Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | +18.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +22 (67-45). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Maxiell * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Eric Hicks * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| James White * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Moore * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Kirkland * | 17 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Muhammad | 27 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| N. Williams | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Lucas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Bright | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 36 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 33 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| R. Powell * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Luther Head * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| James Augustine * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. McBride | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Ingram | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| W. Carter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Nkemdi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter