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2004-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 9.3% 90.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Log Adjusted 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +22 (67-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Maxiell * 40 3-8 0-0 6-10 11 1 0 2 4 12 14 -
E. Hicks * 32 3-8 0-1 2-8 8 1 2 1 0 8 12 -
J. White * 27 2-3 0-1 0-2 2 2 2 1 3 4 5 -
C. Moore * 25 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
A. Kirkland * 17 1-8 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -2 -
J. Muhammad 27 2-12 0-3 2-2 4 0 2 0 2 6 -2 -
N. Williams 20 1-3 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Lucas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Bright 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 36 6-15 3-8 3-4 6 4 0 0 2 18 11 -
D. Brown * 33 4-7 3-6 2-3 5 2 3 0 3 13 13 -
R. Powell * 30 5-10 0-0 3-4 4 2 2 0 3 13 8 -
L. Head * 26 4-11 2-5 1-2 8 3 1 0 0 11 12 -
J. Augustine * 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
R. McBride 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Nick Smith 15 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Ingram 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
W. Carter 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Pruitt 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Nkemdi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter