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2004-12-31

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% -
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.4% 35.6% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% -
Log Adjusted 81.9% 18.1% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farmar 37 4-8 1-3 3-4 2 6 1 0 9 12 4 -
D. Thompson 32 6-14 2-6 4-4 6 3 1 0 3 18 11 -
M. Fey 30 10-14 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 0 0 23 17 -
J. Shipp 29 3-9 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 8 5 -
A. Afflalo 27 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 6 0 1 2 3 5 -
Brian Morrison 24 4-9 3-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 11 6 -
L. Mata-Real 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 2 3 7 -
M. McKinney 9 1-3 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Hollins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.S. Nash 32 5-6 5-5 5-6 2 4 1 0 5 20 16 -
N. Dewitz 29 4-10 1-2 0-0 9 2 0 3 3 9 10 -
D. Lucas 26 9-17 0-0 3-5 3 1 2 0 0 21 10 -
C. Stephens 25 1-5 1-2 9-10 2 2 0 0 0 12 11 -
S. Cuic 22 4-9 1-3 1-2 6 1 2 0 1 10 9 -
J. Fontenet 22 5-8 2-4 1-1 0 6 1 0 0 13 12 -
L. Hurd 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Weathers 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 0 4 -
M. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Jeffers 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Remmers 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
H. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter