Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Grant | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Brand | 26 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| A. Andrews | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Mathis | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | - |
| R. Timus | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Berkley | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Aujla | 14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Stuart | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Evans | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Warfield | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Lawler | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Terrell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burleson | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Zach Williams | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| E. Spencer | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Wood | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Taylor | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Z. Boyd | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Pleiman | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Shine | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| P. Munroe | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter