Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carnegie Johnson | 31 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Mathews | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Hooper | 27 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| L. Mergerson | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Keane | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| G. Sprink | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| G. O'Garro | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Biles | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Rhoiney | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hudson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Everhart | 39 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| K. Hammack | 37 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 9-14 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 15 | - |
| D. McLendon | 33 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 8 | - |
| M. Davis | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| W. McLendon | 20 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Xia | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Miller | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Terry | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Nelson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter