Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.8% | 20.2% | -7.6 | ✗ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +18 (63-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Atsur * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Hodge * | 27 | 7-21 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | - |
| J. Collins * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Bethel * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Watkins * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Bennerman | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Brackman | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Evtimov | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| G. Grant | 15 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Simmons | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lawrence * | 39 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Jackson * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Gray * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Hill * | 31 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | - |
| L. Hamilton * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Jones | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| P. Missere | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mohammed Diakite | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Roach | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Abit | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Mayo | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter