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2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Savannah State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 89.0% 11.0% -
Bradley-Terry 73.2% 26.8% -
Margin 84.5% 15.5% -9.3 (7.7 off)
Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% -

Actual: Savannah State Tigers -17 (81-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Coleman 33 4-6 0-0 3-4 4 8 2 1 7 11 13 -
K. Dinkins 31 7-14 2-8 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 16 7 -
W. Duke 30 4-5 0-0 6-6 12 2 1 2 1 14 25 -
W. Emerson 28 6-14 1-4 2-4 5 4 1 1 2 15 10 -
E. McDonnell 26 7-12 5-8 0-0 7 2 3 0 2 19 17 -
R. Alacqua 15 2-8 2-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 1 -
A. Walker 10 4-5 2-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
S. Dolan 10 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 1 3 -
T. McCurry 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 4 0 0 0 2 8 -
S. Aaron 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Cruz 3 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Pfohl 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Slonaker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Savannah State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 37 9-16 5-5 2-3 6 3 2 0 2 25 18 -
J. Barker 35 5-16 0-6 5-8 5 9 3 0 3 15 13 -
D. Carson 34 3-13 1-4 0-2 9 1 1 2 3 7 4 -
S. Reddick 30 5-9 0-0 7-11 10 2 0 2 2 17 20 -
C. Shaw 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -3 -
B. Emerson 16 4-9 0-1 0-2 6 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
W. West 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Edwards 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. Coleman 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 5 3 -

* = starter