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2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 โœ“ (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +17 (62-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Fitzgerald 35 5-11 1-4 1-3 3 2 0 0 4 12 2 -
G. Ethington 34 3-7 0-0 6-9 7 0 0 2 2 12 12 -
R. Schraeder 30 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 -1 -
D. Fells 30 1-4 0-1 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
J. Gloger 20 3-7 0-2 2-2 2 1 3 0 3 8 4 -
N. Campbell 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Baker 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
P. Sanders 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
S. Armstrong 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Metelski 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Oliver 36 3-10 2-6 4-4 3 3 2 1 4 12 7 -
Casey Cook 32 4-9 0-0 3-4 5 1 2 0 0 11 10 -
J. Davis 29 2-8 0-2 4-4 5 1 2 0 0 8 8 -
C. Goettsche 25 1-5 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 2 2 2 11 -
J. See 24 2-7 2-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
A. Harris 17 1-2 1-1 5-6 1 2 1 0 0 8 10 -
G. Turner 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 1 3 5 -
M. Chambers 15 3-6 2-5 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
D. Rasp 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter