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2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% -
Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bush * 40 6-14 2-4 9-14 11 2 0 0 1 23 21 -
A. Bruce * 38 6-17 2-4 3-5 3 5 4 0 3 17 9 -
K. Shipman * 34 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
P. Fields * 34 7-12 1-4 3-6 9 3 1 0 7 18 12 -
T. Swanson * 21 3-5 1-1 3-5 7 0 0 0 5 10 7 -
M. Shepherd 19 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
R. Biggers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Hurd 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKnight * 39 2-11 0-5 4-6 5 3 1 1 3 8 4 -
D. Teague * 33 6-15 3-9 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 17 7 -
C. Landry * 29 10-12 0-0 9-12 10 0 3 0 6 29 24 -
G. Ware * 24 1-4 0-0 6-8 4 1 0 1 2 8 8 -
B. Dillon 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 5 7 -
X. Price 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 0 5 -
S. Heber 19 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 1 1 5 7 -
Andrew Ford 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Liddell 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter