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2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (0.6 off)

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Chaney 32 5-11 2-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 13 5 -
K. Easley 28 5-12 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 3 10 6 -
A. Shavies 28 2-7 0-1 5-6 2 2 1 0 4 9 3 -
D. Thompson 27 6-11 3-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 15 8 -
T. Maclin 25 3-8 0-0 0-3 11 2 1 1 1 6 12 -
B. Ahearn 20 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
D. Richards 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
D. Mitchell 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
N. Bilyeu 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
S. Frazier 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trevyor Fisher 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Nicholson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lorenzo Gordon 33 6-14 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 2 1 17 10 -
Vince Greene 30 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 2 3 7 5 -
G. Dilligard 29 3-7 0-0 2-4 10 4 0 2 4 8 13 -
T. Guidry 25 5-10 2-5 3-4 0 1 2 0 2 15 6 -
N. Plank 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 7 3 1 1 2 7 13 -
N. Onyeuku 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -4 -
D. Ford 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 6 -
G. Alexander 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
K. Ford 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
R. Carlwell 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter