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2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 2.4% 97.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (34.3 off)
Pythagorean 23.3% 76.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Utah State Aggies +45 (87-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brown 28 4-9 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 11 3 -
W. Wardrop 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 2 -
C. Ayer 23 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 3 0 -2 -
M. Knight 22 1-6 0-0 1-2 0 2 2 0 1 3 0 -
A. Jones 19 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 3 0 2 6 9 -
V. Boccardo 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Haywood 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
K. Brooks 14 4-8 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 8 3 -
J. Ziri 13 1-4 0-3 1-4 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Montgomery 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 0 -
D. Pegram 11 1-6 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 3 -1 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Harris 28 9-12 0-0 3-7 13 1 3 0 1 21 25 -
J. Carroll 27 5-7 4-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 16 10 -
J. Neil 24 2-5 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
A. Holmes 20 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 4 8 -
J. Williams 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
S. Nelson 18 5-6 0-0 7-8 6 4 2 0 2 17 21 -
D. Pak 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 5 3 -
C. McGowen 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
Calvin Brown 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
I. McVey 13 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
J. Edwards 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
T. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter