Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gai | 39 | 11-18 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 29 | - |
| T. Todd | 36 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Maxwell | 35 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. Goode | 35 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Bell | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Oglesby | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. O'Sullivan | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Carter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cruz | 40 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Mendez | 36 | 11-22 | 4-9 | 8-9 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 27 | - |
| L. Miles | 34 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Mathis | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Brooks | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Fisher | 17 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J.R Duffey | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Durosier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Charles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter