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2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brooks 35 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 8 0 0 3 2 11 -
K. Korver 34 3-4 2-3 4-4 6 2 0 0 1 12 15 -
P. Eggers 32 4-6 2-3 7-8 2 0 0 0 3 17 10 -
N. Works 32 5-7 0-0 1-3 8 0 0 3 1 11 14 -
S. Tracy 23 3-4 0-1 1-1 3 4 1 0 6 7 5 -
L. Randolph 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 4 6 2 -
L. Houston 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
C. Bryant 11 3-3 2-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 11 9 -
D. Bancroft 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Heemskerk 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Powell 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
N. Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Moss 43 2-17 1-8 3-4 4 6 3 0 2 8 2 -
A. Daanish 41 3-6 0-0 2-3 10 1 1 2 1 8 15 -
T. Schnitker 40 5-13 3-9 2-3 1 2 1 0 1 15 5 -
J. Adler 36 2-6 0-0 1-5 7 2 1 0 0 5 9 -
E. Gray 34 10-21 8-19 1-2 0 3 1 0 2 29 10 -
G. Moore 25 0-3 0-0 1-4 3 3 0 0 1 1 3 -
R. Trudeau 3 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Yelovich 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
E. Booe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter