Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roberts * | 38 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 7-14 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 25 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shane Power * | 34 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| W. Frazier * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Campbell * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| O. Harper | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Morgan | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Slater | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Dixon * | 29 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Z. Dowdell * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Washington * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Krabbendam * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Calloway | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| A. Green | 25 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Cooke | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter