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2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% -
Bradley-Terry 67.6% 32.4% -
Margin 67.0% 33.0% -3.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% -
Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 38 3-8 3-4 2-2 2 5 1 0 3 11 8 -
R. Turiaf * 36 2-15 0-0 2-7 9 0 1 2 1 6 2 -
E. Knight * 35 3-8 1-1 3-4 5 0 1 0 1 10 7 -
A. Morrison * 33 5-9 0-2 2-2 7 2 0 0 5 12 7 -
S. Mallon * 14 2-7 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
J.P. Batista 28 8-13 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 0 1 17 14 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
D. Pendergraft 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horton * 37 2-9 1-5 1-2 0 3 2 0 0 6 2 -
Jason Conley * 29 7-13 1-5 1-2 13 1 2 0 1 16 18 -
J. McKinney * 29 2-5 0-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 6 5 -
L. Kleiza * 21 5-10 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 11 6 -
K. Young * 17 2-2 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
C. Evans 24 3-8 2-5 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 9 3 -
K. Grimes 22 2-4 0-0 0-3 6 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
M. Brown 14 0-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
G. Dandridge 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 5 5 -

* = starter