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2004-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% -
Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% -
Log Adjusted 18.5% 81.5% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +17 (67-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Galloway * 27 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 3 2 0 3 1 1 -
A. Battle * 25 4-9 1-3 0-1 3 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
C. Webb * 23 2-7 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 3 2 5 7 -
A. Wilson * 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
D. Romero * 18 1-3 1-1 2-3 3 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
J. Rich 24 4-9 0-1 2-2 2 2 4 0 2 10 7 -
A. Waleskowski 21 2-8 0-2 2-3 3 0 0 1 4 6 -2 -
I. Swann 15 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Richardson 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 4 7 4 -
A. Thornton 12 0-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hudson * 36 6-13 4-8 2-2 8 0 1 0 4 18 10 -
D. Mitchell * 35 3-10 1-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 7 5 -
B. Balla * 34 8-18 5-9 2-3 6 9 2 0 2 23 20 -
G. Davis * 23 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 2 3 8 10 -
B. Bass * 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 4 5 -
R. Neltner 30 2-2 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 2 2 6 13 -
X. Whipple 16 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 -
D. Lazare 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -

* = starter