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2004-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -6 (84-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Martin 38 5-11 0-0 4-7 9 1 2 0 0 14 15 -
E. Draughan 35 4-12 0-1 9-11 9 5 1 1 3 17 18 -
C. Hughes 34 4-6 2-3 0-0 9 2 1 0 0 10 16 -
S. Kaplan 32 6-9 2-2 0-0 9 2 1 0 4 14 13 -
A. Gamboa 31 3-10 1-5 7-8 3 2 1 0 7 14 3 -
E. Flato 22 5-8 2-4 4-6 1 1 1 0 0 16 11 -
D. Upshaw 20 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
C. Holmes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
N. Holmes 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Rohde 36 5-9 4-7 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 14 10 -
K. Bailey 33 2-6 1-3 3-6 1 5 1 1 2 8 8 -
T. Niesen 30 7-12 0-0 9-11 6 3 1 0 4 23 17 -
B. Angley 27 5-8 2-5 3-4 2 5 0 0 0 15 14 -
T. Parham 26 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 7 7 -
D. Perkins 25 2-10 1-4 2-2 4 6 4 0 2 7 9 -
J. Legge 15 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
S. Denison 13 0-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 1 0 -
S. Dougherty 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Borchart 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Henke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter