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2004-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes Robert Morris Colonials Spread Result
Elo 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 โœ“ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Robert Morris Colonials +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Achara 33 6-6 0-0 7-8 6 1 0 3 2 19 21 -
B. McAllister 33 5-13 0-1 2-3 7 3 2 0 4 12 7 -
R. Tricco 31 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Higgins 27 4-9 3-8 0-0 1 3 3 0 2 11 7 -
M. Osimani 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 2 0 3 3 2 -
T. Bluemling 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 3 2 -
K. Gayden 17 5-9 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
C. Duke 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Robert Morris Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chaz McCrommon 38 5-14 0-1 1-1 6 3 3 0 1 11 8 -
Derek Coleman 37 2-4 2-4 6-6 4 4 0 0 1 12 15 -
Maurice Carter 26 2-7 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 6 -2 -
T. Lee 24 6-12 2-4 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 14 10 -
S. Stokes 22 4-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
C. Gooden 19 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 5 1 0 3 6 6 -
J. Ison 16 3-5 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 1 6 1 -
C. Boston 9 2-3 1-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
B. Gibb 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter