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2004-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% -
Bradley-Terry 56.8% 43.2% -
Margin 54.5% 45.5% -1.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Log Adjusted 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 38 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 3 4 -
C. Brown 29 3-11 2-5 0-0 3 8 0 0 3 8 5 -
M. Knight 26 7-14 0-1 5-7 12 1 1 0 1 19 18 -
W. Wardrop 22 3-9 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 2 1 7 2 -
D. Pegram 22 3-9 1-4 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
J. Haywood 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 1 0 2 6 -
K. Brooks 15 3-7 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 7 3 -
C. Ayer 14 3-7 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 0 0 10 10 -
J. Ziri 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 5 4 -
J. Montgomery 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Golob 35 6-13 1-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 13 5 -
K. Feuerbach 32 3-8 2-6 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 9 6 -
R. Boykin Jr. 32 4-8 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 1 3 8 11 -
D. Stevens 28 6-12 1-4 4-6 2 5 3 0 2 17 13 -
K. Landry 24 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 7 7 -
R. McCurdy 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
S. Sir 12 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
C. Hill 8 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Hooks 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Garnett 7 0-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -3 -

* = starter