Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | +5.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves -14 (66-80). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 39 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Patrick Lottin | 37 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Isiah Carson | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Michael Lee | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brian Gibbs | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Yankuba Camara | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Wade Dunston | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| K. Carter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Saulis Dumbliauskas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Holmes | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Willie Morse | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delvin Thompson | 29 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| D. Jones | 26 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| F. Cole | 23 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Horton | 22 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Kendrick | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alleo Frazier | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Jackson | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jerist Roberts | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Juan Wyatt | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rhau-Chavis Landfair | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter