Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +16 (90-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| W. Williams * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Plummer * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Alvarez * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Scott * | 18 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Roberts | 22 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Bennett | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Meacham | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| N. Stafford | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Binnie | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. White | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Kingston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Terrell * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Przybyszewski * | 22 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| S. Foster * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Holwerda * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Carroll | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Smith | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Cage | 22 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Gordon | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| T. Skuchas | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Metcalfe | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter