Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +22 (88-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dixon | 35 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| R. Heck | 27 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Huffman | 27 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Baker | 24 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Piper | 23 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| R. Antoine | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. James | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Damus | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Brandon | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Woodstock | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Z. Mathis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walters | 35 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. DeVries | 34 | 9-13 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| D. Granger | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 27 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Collins | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Neale | 19 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Danridge | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Prentice | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Phaler | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Osby | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Harden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter