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2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% -
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Perkins 33 11-18 2-8 3-6 6 2 0 1 2 27 16 -
K. Bailey 30 1-11 0-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 2 -3 -
T. Niesen 29 3-9 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 6 10 -2 -
B. Angley 27 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 0 4 -
E. Rohde 26 5-8 4-7 0-1 3 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
S. Borchart 16 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
T. Parham 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
S. Denison 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Legge 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Dougherty 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Neal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter