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2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 9.9% 90.1% -
Margin 3.8% 96.2% +17.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% -
Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +25 (92-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 35 7-16 3-6 5-5 2 2 4 0 5 22 9 -
D. Cooper 32 2-11 1-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 4 5 -5 -
D. Wilson 29 3-9 1-1 1-2 2 2 2 0 2 8 3 -
M. Lewis 27 5-8 0-0 3-5 12 3 0 0 1 13 19 -
D. Vance 20 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
B. Sullivan 19 4-5 1-1 4-4 1 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
J. Dominguez 15 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Gahlmann 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
K. Aaker 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Watson 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Averette 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Wanless 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hairston 27 9-13 1-2 1-1 6 3 0 0 2 20 14 -
A. Brooks 25 7-12 3-6 0-1 4 6 1 0 1 17 15 -
B. Taylor 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 3 0 1 0 4 8 -
M. Platt 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 4 8 9 -
I. Crosswhite 22 2-4 0-1 3-3 7 4 0 0 4 7 10 -
M. Leunen 19 3-8 0-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 0 -
J. Kent 17 4-7 0-0 1-5 3 1 1 1 2 9 6 -
K. Love 15 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
B. Lincoln 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 7 0 -
M. Short 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 0 5 -
C. Oguchi 3 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
R. Schafer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Stelly 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter