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2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 โœ— (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -1 (70-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Brown 41 7-19 4-10 1-2 6 7 1 0 4 19 10 -
J. Brown 40 6-10 1-1 0-2 6 1 1 0 1 13 10 -
Y. King 39 8-16 0-3 0-0 4 4 4 0 5 16 7 -
H. Asprilla 36 3-3 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 0 4 7 10 -
R. Holmes 31 4-14 2-5 2-4 11 1 0 0 4 12 6 -
J. Harper 19 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 1 3 0 3 2 -1 -
D. Quinet 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Clemmons 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 3 -
J. Burns 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Boylan 41 8-15 1-3 3-6 9 4 2 0 4 20 16 -
D. White 37 3-14 1-8 3-4 4 4 2 0 4 10 2 -
T. Shewmake 36 6-10 2-4 0-0 12 2 2 0 5 14 15 -
J. Frazier 27 0-4 0-1 1-2 5 0 1 1 4 1 0 -
J. Caracciolo 26 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 1 2 7 7 -
C. Chitwood 19 4-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
J. Heard 15 2-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 0 3 5 4 -
B. Altheimer 15 1-6 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 3 -2 -
D. Smith 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter