Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.