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2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 56.4% 43.6% -1.4 (21.6 off)

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -23 (43-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hopkins 32 6-14 3-5 1-2 4 4 1 0 0 16 11 -
K. Jenifer 28 1-6 0-2 3-3 4 4 1 0 3 5 5 -
J. Orr 22 1-2 0-1 3-5 3 0 2 1 0 5 9 -
I. Redding 21 1-5 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
S. Dansby 19 3-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
P. Griffith 16 1-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
T.J. Wolf 16 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 1 2 0 1 6 6 -
S. Witherspoon 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
R. Jackson 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 4 6 -
C. Johnson 11 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
A.J. Adams 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Holder 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Abdelsamad 30 4-9 3-5 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 15 9 -
R. Ehsan 29 0-1 0-1 5-8 5 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
P. Rasmussen 29 0-5 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 0 0 -
J. Stearns 24 4-5 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 11 10 -
A. Warmerdam 23 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Moore 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 0 -8 -
M. Butts 16 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 0 -
J. Carlyle 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
R. Schwarz 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -1 -
T. Juillerat 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter