Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +25 (77-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gainey | 31 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Newsom | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Janes | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Lincoln | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jason Baker | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Barnes | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Janes | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| V. Schouten | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Olsovsky | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Martini | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Bonzano | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Hall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ainge | 31 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Hall | 29 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Rose | 25 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| K. Young | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Jensen | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Dawes | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Balderson | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Miles | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Burgess | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Nashif | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Reichner | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Burgess | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter