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2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 71.0% 29.0% -
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% -

Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 39 2-8 0-1 2-4 2 11 0 0 1 6 10 -
A. Morrison * 39 8-13 1-4 2-3 3 4 1 0 1 19 13 -
E. Knight * 35 4-7 0-1 3-4 6 2 1 0 0 11 13 -
S. Mallon * 25 4-8 2-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 11 10 -
R. Turiaf * 18 4-8 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 0 2 10 8 -
J.P. Batista 30 8-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 18 12 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
D. Pendergraft 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 3 1 -

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas III * 38 8-17 3-12 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 19 10 -
J. Graham * 33 1-6 0-1 6-10 9 4 2 0 3 8 14 -
D. Bobik * 31 3-11 2-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 8 2 -
I. McFarlin * 29 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
Terrence Crawford * 21 2-5 0-1 2-3 5 2 2 0 0 6 10 -
S. Graham 29 7-14 4-6 4-5 6 0 0 1 3 22 12 -
J. Curry 16 2-5 0-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Monds 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter