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2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% -
Bradley-Terry 87.6% 12.4% -
Margin 91.7% 8.3% -13.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Log Adjusted 95.5% 4.5% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -10 (74-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Atsur * 37 4-9 4-6 5-6 2 6 2 0 1 17 17 -
J. Hodge * 29 7-13 0-0 8-13 7 4 3 1 1 22 23 -
J. Collins * 29 3-7 0-2 2-2 4 1 3 1 0 8 10 -
T. Bethel * 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
L. Watkins * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Evtimov 31 4-8 1-3 2-2 3 5 2 1 3 11 11 -
C. Bennerman 29 8-12 5-6 3-7 1 2 1 1 2 24 15 -
A. Brackman 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 1 2 0 4 -
G. Grant 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
C. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Boswell * 32 7-11 4-5 5-6 4 1 4 0 1 23 20 -
M. Preston * 28 6-11 1-2 3-6 9 1 1 0 5 16 11 -
A. Peeples * 19 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 7 7 -
B. Loscalzo * 19 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 3 2 -
M. Montgomery * 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 3 5 -
T. Hill 25 3-8 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 6 -2 -
D. Cuff 21 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
M. Land 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 6 9 -
B. Nwachukwu 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
C. Rowe 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
D. Baron 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Armstrong 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Grzan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. MacQuarrie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter