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2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model UNC Wilmington Seahawks North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 7.2% 92.8% -
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +23.0 (2.0 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (96-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wyrick * 25 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
H. Lane * 23 2-8 2-4 1-2 5 4 1 0 1 7 8 -
A. Coombs * 22 1-4 0-0 3-4 3 2 2 1 0 5 9 -
E. Spencer * 22 8-14 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 19 1 -
M. Laue * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
J. King 25 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
T. Lay 21 5-8 1-3 0-1 1 2 2 0 2 11 6 -
T.J. Carter 18 3-11 2-5 4-4 3 2 1 0 3 12 4 -
V. Kuljanin 11 4-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
D. Fountain 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 1 0 2 5 -
D. Grkovic 10 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 2 4 3 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roche * 28 4-5 4-4 0-0 3 10 2 1 3 12 20 -
R. McCants * 26 2-9 1-5 4-6 4 1 1 0 3 9 3 -
E. Arriaran * 24 9-12 3-4 4-6 4 3 0 2 1 25 21 -
J. Manuel * 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 2 4 3 0 2 7 8 -
S. May * 21 4-4 0-0 8-9 6 2 0 0 4 16 16 -
M. Williams 23 2-5 0-1 6-8 7 0 1 0 3 10 10 -
M. Scott 20 3-5 2-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 0 9 11 -
D. Noel 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
Q. Thomas 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 4 0 0 2 1 5 -
R. Terry 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Sanders 3 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Everett 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C.J. Hooker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter