๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 9.2% 90.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +9 (97-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jennings 39 4-13 1-3 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 13 3 -
B. Bender 33 7-14 2-4 6-8 7 1 1 1 0 22 18 -
C. Gash 28 1-4 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
T.J. McCullough 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 0 2 -
S. Conn 22 11-13 3-3 1-2 7 1 0 0 2 26 19 -
M. Jones 14 3-5 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -3 -
A. Manning 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 2 3 -
Z. Jelenic 13 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
B. Noonan 8 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
J. Chiles 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall 35 7-10 5-5 3-5 3 3 2 0 1 22 19 -
J. Obazuaye 28 3-8 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
C. Copeland 28 7-12 2-3 1-2 2 2 0 3 4 17 8 -
R. Roby 27 3-10 0-1 4-4 4 3 1 0 1 10 7 -
G. Eddy 19 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 0 1 12 10 -
A. Osborn 18 6-9 3-6 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 15 16 -
M. King-Stockton 14 1-2 0-0 3-4 1 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
A. McGee 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. Arrington 12 0-0 0-0 2-3 0 2 2 1 1 2 6 -
M. Freeman 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter