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2004-12-28

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 83.1% 16.9% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Log Adjusted 76.1% 23.9% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Schraeder 33 6-14 6-13 2-2 0 4 1 0 1 20 10 -
A. Fitzgerald 30 1-8 0-2 0-0 7 9 4 0 3 2 11 -
G. Ethington 28 6-16 0-0 2-4 8 1 3 0 1 14 9 -
N. Campbell 28 4-9 1-4 2-2 9 2 0 1 1 11 13 -
D. Fells 27 7-15 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 15 4 -
J. Gloger 20 2-4 0-0 5-6 5 4 0 0 3 9 11 -
A. Metelski 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
P. Sanders 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
S. Armstrong 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 6 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Whiten 35 5-13 4-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 14 6 -
P. Johnson 28 7-10 0-0 4-4 6 1 3 4 1 18 21 -
N. Enzweiler 27 5-7 3-5 2-2 11 3 0 2 7 15 17 -
A. Haskins 25 2-10 0-1 0-2 3 2 1 0 2 4 -2 -
F. Sampson 23 3-7 1-3 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 9 10 -
Mike Titchenal 17 1-3 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
L. Finnegan 16 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
T. McGinn 15 1-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -2 -
Z. Thurow 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Henry 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter