Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Schraeder | 33 | 6-14 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 30 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - |
| G. Ethington | 28 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| N. Campbell | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Fells | 27 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| J. Gloger | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Metelski | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| P. Sanders | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Whiten | 35 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| P. Johnson | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 27 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | - |
| A. Haskins | 25 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| F. Sampson | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mike Titchenal | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. McGinn | 15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Henry | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter