Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Coleman | 34 | 9-18 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 14 | - |
| M. Al-Sayyad | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Berry | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Bouldin | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. O'Neil | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Bell | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Hernandez | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. White | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jack Marlow | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Morris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cox | 39 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 14-18 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 24 | - |
| T. Riley | 38 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 12-16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| J. Gaines | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| N. Pierce | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Gumbs | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Dukes | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Wiggins Jr. | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Ingerson | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Bell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter