Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Marymount Lions | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Knight | 38 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 22 | - |
| B. Worthy | 37 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Brown | 33 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Jones | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| K. Brooks | 23 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Pegram | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Haywood | 19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Wardrop | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Ayer | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Ziri | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Reynolds | 39 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Bannister | 36 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| E. Brown | 34 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| S. Singletary | 33 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| G. Forbes | 29 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | - |
| M. McLean | 27 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Joseph | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Minter | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Soroye | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter