Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Massachusetts Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | -4.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Massachusetts Minutemen +10 (73-63). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Johnson | 40 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Terrance Mouton | 32 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Robert Taylor | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Paul Johnson | 23 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 20 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Edwin Muniz | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Naughton | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Andre Pereira | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Armel Minyem | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Hickman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron White | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Maxwell | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Bowers | 35 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Rashaun Freeman | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 8-15 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Chris Chadwick | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Viggiano | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| B. Martin | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Carrier | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stephane Lasme | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jeff Salovski | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter