Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +12 (61-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Gordon | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Guidry | 34 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Vince Greene | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Ford | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Ford | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| N. Plank | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Brooks | 36 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Tatum | 30 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| T. Young | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| L. Owen | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Josh Warren | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Falker | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Hairston | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Shaw | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Dale | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter