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2004-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% - โœ—
Margin 22.2% 77.8% +6.9 โœ“ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shuler 32 2-7 0-3 3-4 5 2 0 0 2 7 5 -
T. Martin 30 5-12 2-7 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 12 8 -
C. Gaynor 30 3-8 2-7 0-0 0 4 2 0 1 8 5 -
O. Daniels 23 3-10 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 7 3 -
P. Williams 22 4-6 2-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 12 11 -
C. Bradshaw 18 2-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
B. Houston 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 1 5 -
M. Jenkins 10 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -
S. Langston 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
S. Draughn 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Killeen 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks 37 8-13 4-8 5-6 3 5 0 0 1 25 19 -
M. Hairston 31 6-9 2-5 3-5 5 2 0 0 2 17 13 -
I. Crosswhite 30 3-5 1-1 3-3 5 1 1 2 3 10 11 -
B. Taylor 27 1-6 0-4 3-4 1 2 0 0 1 5 1 -
M. Leunen 19 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
J. Kent 14 1-2 0-0 2-5 1 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
B. Lincoln 14 1-5 1-4 0-2 4 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
M. Platt 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
R. Schafer 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Short 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Love 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Oguchi 2 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter