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2004-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 60.0% 40.0% -
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% -
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Log Adjusted 88.9% 11.1% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -9 (51-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Fazekas 35 5-11 1-4 3-4 6 0 0 2 0 14 11 -
K. Shiloh 35 3-5 1-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 8 8 -
R. Sessions 31 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 4 0 -
K. Pinkney 30 7-8 0-0 4-4 11 0 0 1 0 18 22 -
J. Washington 28 1-2 0-0 6-8 2 4 2 1 1 8 14 -
M. Charlo 23 3-8 0-4 2-4 3 2 0 0 2 8 3 -
D. Ellis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Bell 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Taylor 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Rasmussen 37 6-12 4-7 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 17 4 -
F. Abdelsamad 37 2-9 1-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 7 1 -
R. Moore 35 6-13 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 13 -1 -
R. Ehsan 34 2-4 2-3 4-4 5 1 0 0 0 10 12 -
T. Juillerat 34 1-9 0-1 2-4 9 4 1 0 1 4 8 -
M. Butts 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Stearns 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Warmerdam 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Carlyle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Schwarz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter