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2004-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks North Texas Mean Green Spread Result
Elo 60.7% 39.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 55.0% 45.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—

Actual: North Texas Mean Green +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gonner 37 5-20 0-5 7-9 11 1 3 0 3 17 9 -
T. Willoughby 32 5-10 2-6 5-8 2 2 0 1 2 17 10 -
C. Sykes 30 1-6 0-0 5-6 12 2 1 0 3 7 13 -
B. Hale 25 5-11 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 13 5 -
P. Paradoski 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 4 -
Mike Nelke 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -
R. Belcher 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
W. Francis 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Derek Winans 10 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
C. Lewis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leonard Hopkins 32 2-6 0-2 10-12 5 3 1 0 3 14 14 -
Q. Williams 27 6-9 0-0 2-3 8 2 0 1 2 14 14 -
J. Wooton 25 5-7 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 12 9 -
M. Jones 24 4-11 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 2 0 9 10 -
I. Hines 23 0-3 0-2 6-6 4 0 2 0 1 6 8 -
J. Simpson 17 4-10 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 10 5 -
R. Harris 16 1-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
T. Thomas 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
M. Sturns 13 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Mitchell 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter