๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2004-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Appalachian State Mountaineers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Margin 3.7% 96.3% +17.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.9% 81.1% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. McFarland 32 4-12 0-3 2-2 5 0 4 1 1 10 7 -
D.J. Thompson 31 1-7 0-4 2-2 1 4 3 0 3 4 2 -
Noah Brown 31 5-13 4-10 1-4 2 1 0 0 1 15 4 -
D. McLaughlin-Williams 23 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Elliott 23 1-9 0-0 1-3 10 1 2 1 3 3 5 -
J. Clayton 20 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 3 2 5 3 -
D. Scott 16 1-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
C. Davis 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Deas 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Ceazer 7 0-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Holwerda 30 2-5 0-2 1-2 2 3 3 0 4 5 4 -
M. Moore 28 3-10 0-3 5-6 5 3 0 0 3 11 6 -
D. Przybyszewski 25 3-9 1-3 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 9 8 -
J. Terrell 24 7-10 0-0 2-3 12 0 1 0 1 16 18 -
C. Smith 22 6-9 4-4 0-0 9 4 0 1 1 16 20 -
A. Gordon 22 2-8 1-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 7 -1 -
S. Foster 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 2 -2 -
T. Skuchas 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 0 4 -
D. Carroll 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Cage 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Hammond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Metcalfe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter