Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| L. Head * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D. Brown * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Powell * | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Ingram | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. McBride | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kleiza * | 39 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 11-13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 21 | - |
| J. Horton * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. McKinney * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Young * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jason Conley * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Evans | 20 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| K. Grimes | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Brown | 11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| G. Dandridge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Laurie | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter