🐻⬇️🏀

Portland Pilots 76
@
UC Riverside Highlanders 70
2004-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 ✗ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 70.5% 29.5% - ✓
Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 90.6% 9.4% - ✓

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 38 9-18 3-8 4-4 1 3 3 0 3 25 11 -
D. Cooper 31 6-14 1-4 1-1 7 0 1 0 2 14 6 -
D. Wilson 31 2-4 0-0 3-5 4 0 1 0 2 7 6 -
B. Sullivan 27 2-7 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Lewis 21 4-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
D. Vance 21 1-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 3 0 4 8 -
J. Dominguez 16 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
A. Gahlmann 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
K. Aaker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Morton 38 6-12 0-0 6-13 8 3 0 2 6 18 13 -
R. Porter 31 2-8 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 6 1 -
S. Williams 30 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 9 12 -
M. Calicott 25 0-2 0-0 1-2 6 4 0 0 0 1 9 -
J. Bell 24 4-6 1-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 9 8 -
B. Ost 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
L. Cunningham 17 7-11 5-7 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 19 6 -
K. Schille 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
D. Bates 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter