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2004-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 (13.1 off)

Actual: Auburn Tigers -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Triplett 38 5-10 1-5 2-5 6 2 5 0 3 13 13 -
A. Pinson 30 2-4 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 2 0 4 6 -
J. Ingram 30 4-10 2-6 3-4 5 3 5 0 2 13 14 -
S. Villegas 27 4-12 3-9 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 11 0 -
K. Payne 23 3-9 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 6 -4 -
K. Howell 21 3-6 1-1 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 9 11 -
A. Currie 12 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 -
R. Russell 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
F. Valencia 5 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
K. Milson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Watson 36 4-10 2-5 2-3 12 0 0 1 6 12 9 -
D. Hayles 36 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 10 0 -
T. Douglas 36 9-17 0-2 5-6 6 1 2 1 4 23 12 -
I. Young 34 2-9 0-4 1-2 3 4 0 0 4 5 -1 -
Q. Brown 26 2-2 0-0 4-5 5 4 1 0 1 8 15 -
F. Tolbert 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
L. Jackson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Edun 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 1 1 2 3 -

* = starter